Why Foursquare Will Be Dead One Year From Now

Foursquare

Foursquare

My Life Sucks Too Much For Foursquare
So Foursquare keeps growing and growing eh? Fine, but I don’t think it can ever be as big as Twitter or Facebook. The reason is that most of us are boring. I include myself in this category. I used go from home to work and then a few hours latter I go from work to home. Well, I’m not going to announce where I live so the only thing I would ever post is my workplace. Sure there is a rare time that I go out to a restaurant with my wife. A few times a year we go to the movies. About 5 times a years I go to a concert. Other than that I might go to a friends house, but I’m not going to post that. Ok, I also go to the store. So let’s say 20 times a year I go to a restaurant, 5 times a year I go to the movies, and 5 times a year I go to a concert. That’s not exciting at all! Is that worth posting?

Most Peoples Lives Suck Too Much For Foursquare
With 30 postable locations a year other than my workplace, this is less exciting than if I posted what I’m eating for dinner every night. Sure I post a photo of a really awesome meal every once in awhile, but for the most part I make fun of people that post boring crap like that. Sure people in Silicon Valley go to all kinds of exciting places all the time. Of course people with a really good job can go out to all kinds of interesting places every weekend, but most of America is poor as hell!

Foursquare Will Be Friendster In A Year
Can Forsquare really survive on people posting updates of work, Wal-Mart, home, work, Wal-Mart, home? That is most of America with very little diversity. The amount of people that can afford to go beyond that are a small percentage of the country. According to most internet ranking sites Foursquare ranks inside the top 1,000 websites on the internet. I think this is about as far as it is going to get. Yes, it will get a little higher for a short blip of time. They will make some deals to get those home, work, Wal-mart, home level users. But those users will get bored of the site really quick since they don’t have the exciting updates that the top users post. It will only remind them that their life sucks and is boring. People don’t like that and they will stop posting updates. Once this final spike of the site is done even the cool kids will leave and the site will be the latest Friendster.

Mark my words… At this time next year Foursquare will be looked back on as a failure.